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Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q.

 
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Ralph Hoover



Joined: 09 Jan 2006
Posts: 206
Location: Central Ohio

PostPosted: Tue May 02, 2006 2:53 pm    Post subject: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

I would personally find it interesting to hear how most of you determine if the weather is right for flight today (or any given day). I don't believe that all of you are as fortunate as John Houck in living in your own "Hollar" or field attached to your residence.

My plane is hangerrd approximately 25 minutes from my home and almost every time I lick my index finger and hold it to the air, it appears good to fly. Yet, when I arrive at the field the sock is out straight. Go figure.

Any secrets: longer finger for greater altitude? Live closer to the airport. live at the airport, live in the airplane. I mean here in Ohio we are sophisticated and have "double -Doppler" Rader. that gives us....1). twice the error or 2). half the accuracy.

Any advice?
Holding an extended finger in the air Ralph of Ohio


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Richard Pike



Joined: 09 Jan 2006
Posts: 1670
Location: Blountville, Tennessee

PostPosted: Tue May 02, 2006 3:33 pm    Post subject: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

Go to :www.intellicast.com
Type in your zip code.
When it comes up, go to forecasts.
Click on "winds"

Richard Pike
MKIII N420P (420ldPoops)
Ralph Hoover wrote:
Quote:


I would personally find it interesting to hear how most of you determine if the weather is right for flight today (or any given day). I don't believe that all of you are as fortunate as John Houck in living in your own "Hollar" or field attached to your residence.

My plane is hangerrd approximately 25 minutes from my home and almost every time I lick my index finger and hold it to the air, it appears good to fly. Yet, when I arrive at the field the sock is out straight. Go figure.

Any secrets: longer finger for greater altitude? Live closer to the airport. live at the airport, live in the airplane. I mean here in Ohio we are sophisticated and have "double -Doppler" Rader. that gives us....1). twice the error or 2). half the accuracy.

Any advice?
Holding an extended finger in the air Ralph of Ohio


Read this topic online here:

http://forums.matronics.com/viewtopic.php?p=32404#32404










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Kolb MKIII N420P (420ldPoops)
Kingsport, TN 3TN0

Forgiving is tough, being forgiven is wonderful, and God's grace really is amazing.
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Possum



Joined: 12 Jan 2006
Posts: 112
Location: Georgia

PostPosted: Tue May 02, 2006 3:52 pm    Post subject: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

At 06:53 PM 5/2/2006, you wrote:
Quote:


I would personally find it interesting to hear=20
how most of you determine if the weather is=20
right for flight today (or any given day). I=20
don't believe that all of you are as fortunate=20
as John Houck in living in your own "Hollar" or=20
field attached to your residence.

Have you ever seen a windsock at a small airport?
(Describe it as a sock flying in the air.) It
shows the direction of the wind. If the force of
the wind is strong, the sock will be
horizontal. The windsock looks like a sock
without the heel, and is mounted on a tall pole.

Possums windsock.

Materials needed:
A metal compass, protractor, paper, pencil, a store compass, ruler.

Procedure:
Using the metal compass, draw a large circle on the paper.
Use the ruler to draw vertical and horizontal
lines through the center. Mark North up , South
down, East, and West at the intersections of 90 degrees.
Use the protractor to mark off points every 30=B0 around the circle.
Point to where a variety of angles would be, such
as 30=B0, 45=B0, 60=B0, 120=B0, etc., all around the circle.
Then suspend a brick from a string (where the
brick can swing freely) over the north south line
of your circle. Measure its weight and record
(ounces). (If using metric measurements, the
weight will be in grams, and the volume will be in cubic centimeters.)

Observations: When the wind is blowing, how does
this experiment apply to an airplane?
(The air reacts against the propellers of an
airplane as they drive the plane forward, and the
reaction against the plane has two elements, one
of which lifts the plane. Can you say, and also
spell the man=92s name, "Bernoulli"? (Bernewly -- B E R N O U L L I.)
The other element, gravity, pulls it down.)
Newton=92s Third Law of Motion. (For every action
there is an equal and opposite reaction.)

Questions: Did the brick "lost weight"? No

Conclusions: If the brick passes over the 45
degree line on your circle Southeast or Southwest
=96 don=92t fly today. Mark it on your circle (Don=92t Fly Today).

That=92s how we do it.


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donaho(at)csrlink.net
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PostPosted: Tue May 02, 2006 4:07 pm    Post subject: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

Ralph, The best flying weather I have found , is when there is a large high
pressure system right over where I live. I trailer to the airport, and
hate when I go to all the trouble of getting things ready and find the
wind sock straight out. So if the big H on the weather map is not over my
house I expect some wind when I get to the airport. Anyway this is my
M.O. Lanny Fetterman N598LF Firestar II


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PostPosted: Tue May 02, 2006 4:16 pm    Post subject: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

Bernewly gives abt 10% of the lift, Newt gives the rest. This was
fought out on another list (FLY-UL) some 5 or so years ago. Oddly.
many books and teachers actually believe ol' Bernewly does the heavy
lifting. Ain't so. { I hear a looong thread starting to unwind!}
regards,
Bob N.
http://www.angelfire.com/rpg/ronoy/

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Ralph Hoover



Joined: 09 Jan 2006
Posts: 206
Location: Central Ohio

PostPosted: Tue May 02, 2006 4:21 pm    Post subject: Re: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

"Go to :www.intellicast.com
Type in your zip code.
When it comes up, go to forecasts.
Click on "winds"
Well Pastor Pike I am truly amazed. You mean you believe in "forecasters"? Scares me Brother. A man of your upbringing should stay clear of voodoo and witchcraft!

And as For the Possum's weather vane wind sock. Shame on you Possum. You should give me greater credit than that. I have seen this sock / brick wind system and it only works at winds OVER 45 miles per hour! And as for that " Bernoulli" fellow, my Mother went to school with him. And the rule you referred to is incomplete. The actual rule states that a body in motion tends to stay in motion until it meets an immovable object of equal or greater authority! You see, before I began riding with hard core heavy drinking bikers I was a nuclear physicist!

E=Mc Squared here in Ohio Ralph


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PostPosted: Tue May 02, 2006 4:25 pm    Post subject: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

A large part of your decision will be based on your ability. YOU have to
decide if the winds are not right for you.

Wind conditions can be found on AOL, local FSS and several other sites. Just
remember the "old pilots vs bold pilots 'adage.


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Ralph Hoover



Joined: 09 Jan 2006
Posts: 206
Location: Central Ohio

PostPosted: Tue May 02, 2006 4:31 pm    Post subject: Re: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

"Ralph, The best flying weather I have found , is when there is a large high pressure system right over where I live. I trailer to the airport, and
hate when I go to all the trouble of getting things ready and find the
wind sock straight out. So if the big H on the weather map is not over my
house I expect some wind when I get to the airport. Anyway this is my
M.O. Lanny Fetterman N598LF Firestar II"

Now you other posters see. Here Mr. Fetterman treated me as an adult with a degree of respect and assumed that I could do word association. His information was concise, diction complete and attitude not unlike one I would choose to hang with. And NOW I will keep my eyes on the big "H" on the weather map rather than the dag nabed brick on the wind sock compass suggested by our famous Possum. I'll bet most of you other fliers didn't know about the big "H". Now did ya?
Ralph in an Ohio stationary front.


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Possum



Joined: 12 Jan 2006
Posts: 112
Location: Georgia

PostPosted: Tue May 02, 2006 4:44 pm    Post subject: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

At 08:21 PM 5/2/2006, you wrote:
Quote:


And as For the Possum's weather vane wind sock. Shame on you Possum.
You should give me greater credit than that. I have seen this sock /
brick wind system and it only works at winds OVER 45 miles per hour!
And as for that " Bernoulli" fellow, my Mother went to school with
him. And the rule you referred to is incomplete


Guilty as charged - Sir


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Kirk Smith



Joined: 10 Jan 2006
Posts: 78
Location: SE Michigan

PostPosted: Tue May 02, 2006 5:17 pm    Post subject: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

When I can see 2 suns and one inverted oak tree at the end of 27 from the
deck, it's safe for me to fly.

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PostPosted: Tue May 02, 2006 5:35 pm    Post subject: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

If you have a strong need to fly you can usually dodge the worst
breezes during the early
morning and an hour before sundown.
They each have other drawbacks, the morning will give you wet feet and
possible
carb ice. The evening sun will be tough to fly into. I don't mind the
late breezes
because they are mostly horizontal and smooth, no thermals except
rollers off
hills if you are low.
-BB do not archive

On 2, May 2006, at 6:53 PM, Ralph Hoover wrote:
Quote:

Read this topic online here:

http://forums.matronics.com/viewtopic.php?p=32404#32404



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PostPosted: Tue May 02, 2006 6:07 pm    Post subject: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

Quote:
I would personally find it interesting to hear how most of you determine
if the weather is right for flight

Quote:
My plane is hangerrd approximately 25 minutes from my home

Dear Ralph:

My situation is very similar. I'm 15 miles but it's a 30 minute drive each
way.

I find these sites very reliable in terms of short-term forecast, such as
checking just after lunch for a flight after work:

Winds aloft:
http://map.aeroplanner.com/mapping/weather/weatherwindstemps.cfm

Current conditions and short-term forecast:
http://usairnet.com/cgi-bin/launch/code.cgi?sta=KMTC&model=avn&state=MI&Submit=Get+Forecast

Note, in the last URL there's an airport identified, KMTC. You can replace
this with the identifier for your airport but the site doesn't recognize the
little fields like the one I fly from. This is the closest one of size,
approximately 8 miles away. I use a few others around the area as well, but
you'll get the idea.

Hope this helps,

-Ken Fackler
Kolb Mark II / A722KWF
Ray Community Airport MI (57D)


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PostPosted: Tue May 02, 2006 6:10 pm    Post subject: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

Ralph
I just keep it to my self GO out side before holding your wet finger up
Ellery in the wind with a firestar usually

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Richard Pike



Joined: 09 Jan 2006
Posts: 1670
Location: Blountville, Tennessee

PostPosted: Tue May 02, 2006 6:45 pm    Post subject: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

Great WX website. Many thanks!
Richard Pike
MKIII N420P (420ldPoops)
kfackler wrote:
Quote:


<snip>
Current conditions and short-term forecast:
http://usairnet.com/ <snip>

-Ken Fackler
Kolb Mark II / A722KWF
Ray Community Airport MI (57D)








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Kolb MKIII N420P (420ldPoops)
Kingsport, TN 3TN0

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Larry Cottrell



Joined: 10 Jan 2006
Posts: 35
Location: Klamath Falls, Oregon

PostPosted: Wed May 03, 2006 5:46 am    Post subject: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

http://www.usairnet.com/cgi-bin/launch/code.cgi?sta=KLMT&model=avn&state=OR&Submit=Change+Location

try this. It will give you the guess for all times of the day. You of course
will have to change the location, but it gives you some idea of when you
should be getting out of the sky.
Larry, Oregon


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John Jung



Joined: 10 Jan 2006
Posts: 108
Location: Surprise, AZ, USA

PostPosted: Wed May 03, 2006 6:12 am    Post subject: Re: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

Ralph and Group,

Here is what I can tell you about the decision to fly or not: When I had little experience and was flying ultralights (other than Kolbs), it was a big deal. I spent a lot of time wondering about and trying to figure out the winds and weather. It all changed, though, after getting more flying experience and changing to a Kolb. Now, I fly in most any weather, if I need to, or really want to. But given a choice, I tend to pick times to fly based on comfort, avoiding strong thermals or really hot or cold weather. I don't generally worry about the direction of the wind unless the winds are very high.

So, what I am suggesting here is that the problem of predicting weather is only a tempory problem.


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Thom Riddle



Joined: 10 Jan 2006
Posts: 1597
Location: Buffalo, NY, USA (9G0)

PostPosted: Thu May 04, 2006 3:19 am    Post subject: Re: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

Depends on where you live. Check out the following link for average winds by month for cities all around the USA.

http://www.met.utah.edu/jhorel/html/wx/climate/windavg.html

I note that Phoenix, on average, does not have much wind at any time of year. Compare those numbers to what is normal here in Buffalo, NY. We don't have a single month in which the average wind is anywhere nearly as low as your windiest month. The UL types fly around here only in early morning or late evening before dusk.

Thom in Buffalo


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PostPosted: Thu May 04, 2006 12:26 pm    Post subject: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

Bernewly gives abt 10% of the lift, Newt gives the rest. >>

Hi,

never heard this. Can you point me towards some expert texts? I would love
to read something which disproves everything I have ever read or been
taught.

Cheers

Pat

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Thom Riddle



Joined: 10 Jan 2006
Posts: 1597
Location: Buffalo, NY, USA (9G0)

PostPosted: Thu May 04, 2006 2:59 pm    Post subject: Re: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

Pat,

One of the best websites for learning about this is

http://www.av8n.com/how/

It is a most useful and educational resource.

Thom in Buffalo


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PostPosted: Fri May 05, 2006 2:09 am    Post subject: Weather..To fly or not to fly T.I.T.Q. Reply with quote

. Check out the following link for average winds>>

Hi there,

watch out for those averages. I read somewhere that the Wright Bros picked
Kittyhawk on the basis of the average wind data supplied by the Weather
Bureau.

In fact they were often grounded by high winds.

Still they did alright. After all they flew just after the Frenchman Ader,
the New Zealander Pearse and the Englishman whose name I forget and I am
too idle to look up, who lived about 50 miles from me.

Cheers

Pat

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