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We lost Scott Crossfield today

 
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bicyclop(at)pacbell.net
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PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2006 5:18 pm    Post subject: We lost Scott Crossfield today Reply with quote

Regarding the weather that day, I left Nashville, Tune that morning in
our 6a bound for Raleigh. My brother-in-law said he'd rather risk fiery
death than spend 2 more days in Nashville. Looking at the nexrad and
talking to the briefer, it was obvious that it would be IMC over the
mountains so we chose to go around the south end under the overcast. The
briefer asked me if I had weather radar on board. Most airports along
the route were calling 9 or 10 mile visibilities and ceilings about 2k.
I bought a couple of sectionals as I didn't think WACs would be adequate
for what we had in mind. It had stormed big time that morning with hail
and we bailed in the calm between cells and headed south and later
southeast when it was more doable. We hop scotched from airport to
airport for awhile. Having 2 GPSs was very handy. I left one set up on
the airport we'd just passed in case we needed to turn back and set the
other to an airport maybe 10 or 20 miles ahead. When we needed to divert
for improved visibility, we'd just reset the destination in one of the
GPSs. It was also very good having my navigator following the charts and
suggesting possible interim destinations based on which way the
visibility was better. We were constantly tuning in new AWOSs for
ceiling and visibility reports. By the time we turned the corner down
near Atlanta about noon, the ceiling was up to about 3000 AGL and the
vis better than ten. In the Carolinas, there were no significant clouds,
just sorta hazy.

About a week later, at the Smithsonian, I saw a memorial poster for
Scott Crossfield on an easel under the X-15 and had to wonder if he'd
still be with us if he'd decided to run under the weather and around
instead of over the hills.

I'm still planning to get my IFR ticket (I've got one big hour of dual
so far), but in the entire trip from the west coast to east, up and down
the coast and home, I don't really think there was one situation where
we'd have been better off IFR. Underneath at least we could see and
avoid the precip from the storms.

Pax,

Ed Holyoke

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khorton01(at)rogers.com
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PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2006 6:03 pm    Post subject: We lost Scott Crossfield today Reply with quote

On 10-May-06, at 10:12 PM, Ed Holyoke wrote:

Quote:
About a week later, at the Smithsonian, I saw a memorial poster for
Scott Crossfield on an easel under the X-15 and had to wonder if he'd
still be with us if he'd decided to run under the weather and around
instead of over the hills.

I'm still planning to get my IFR ticket (I've got one big hour of dual
so far), but in the entire trip from the west coast to east, up and
down
the coast and home, I don't really think there was one situation where
we'd have been better off IFR. Underneath at least we could see and
avoid the precip from the storms.


It all depends on the weather, your attitude, and a whole bunch of
luck. Yes, scud running can keep you out of the CBs. But, it can
also suck you into a corner where you lose your VFR options because
the weather has closed in behind you. Towers that aren't on the
charts can be a killer also. Lots of guys get killed while scud
running too.

No matter whether you go IFR, or VFR, there will sometimes be
conditions that can suck you into going where you shouldn't. It is
very easy to pat yourself on the back and say that you wouldn't be
stupid enough to do whatever it was that killed that other guy. But
we never really know how well we would do at avoiding the trap until
nature springs the test on us.

Be careful out there,

Kevin Horton
RV-8 (Finishing Kit)
Ottawa, Canada
http://www.kilohotel.com/rv8
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bicyclop(at)pacbell.net
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PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2006 8:56 pm    Post subject: We lost Scott Crossfield today Reply with quote

Kevin,

True, we could have sat it out, but I'm not sure I would call what we
did scud running either. We were never below about 1k AGL (and for most
of it, higher) and we were never closer than 500ft or so to the cloud
bases. Visibility was probably 4 or 5 when we started and improved to 9
or 10 within a few minutes. VFR in other words. We maintained outs at
all times in the form of nearby airports with known decent weather. Your
point about towers is well taken. We do have a Garmin 296 with terrain
warning, but as you say, a tower might not be in the database. I was
happy to have my #2 handling the charts and radio frequencies so I could
focus on the outside. I was also showing landing lights to be more
visible if anybody else was out there. In the early portion of the
flight, before the visibility improved, I was also throttled back to
give more time to identify potential obstacles. I have found that
sunglasses with sort of a brownish tint really help pick out the edges
of clouds and make it much easier to distinguish them from the haze. As
to attitude, I was willing and ready to divert, turn back and/or land if
at any time the conditions had worsened. Fortunately the conditions
continually improved (as briefed) and we were able to continue.

Please don't think I was trying to say that I'm better or smarter than
anyone else and certainly not better, smarter or more experienced than
Scott Crossfield. What I was saying is that, as always, we try to make
the best choices we can based on all the info that's available at the
time. From what I was seeing on the nexrad at the airport and what I was
hearing from the weather briefers (I made 3 calls before we decided to
go), the routing we chose was the only viable one. I guess Mr.
Crossfield made what he thought was the best decision at the time also.
I'm not second guessing him, just wistfully observing the difference in
outcomes.

Pax,

Ed Holyoke

P.S. I can't imagine tackling a flight like that one without a moving
map GPS and I made good use of 2 of them. I also kept my NAV receiver
tuned to the nearest VOR to our course. If GPS had become unavailable, I
would have landed and reassessed the situation.
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PFolbrecht(at)starkinvest
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PostPosted: Thu May 11, 2006 6:45 am    Post subject: We lost Scott Crossfield today Reply with quote

With embedded CBs about, unless you have onboard weather of some sort,
VFR is really the only sane option - and not sane under many
circumstances, of course. You cannot rely on ATC, in my experience. My
IMC experience is quite limited and yet I had a good scare only a couple
months after getting my ticket, in northern IN. I came quite close to
flying into a group of cells, essentially unforecast and nothing there
at all an hour prior. I think flightwatch may have saved my bacon that
day, or saved me from a bigger scare at least, but it was too close for
my liking. Diverted north to Gary and grabbed a car to Indy.
Eye-opener, that was.
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tedd(at)vansairforce.org
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PostPosted: Thu May 11, 2006 3:56 pm    Post subject: We lost Scott Crossfield today Reply with quote

Quote:
With embedded CBs about, unless you have onboard weather of some sort,
VFR is really the only sane option

That's sort of true. But if you can fly IFR in VMC (e.g., on top of a stratus
layer) where you can see the CB or CVD cells, that's still "sane." (Accepting,
for the purpose of argument, that you consider IFR in a single-engine airplane
sane in the first place.)

There is the possibility that you can't get ATC to clear you to deviate from
your routing to steer around CBs (been there, due to radio failure). But in
theory there's nothing wrong with it.

Tedd


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khorton01(at)rogers.com
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PostPosted: Thu May 11, 2006 5:41 pm    Post subject: We lost Scott Crossfield today Reply with quote

On 11-May-06, at 8:54 PM, Tedd McHenry wrote:

Quote:


> With embedded CBs about, unless you have onboard weather of some
> sort,
> VFR is really the only sane option

That's sort of true. But if you can fly IFR in VMC (e.g., on top
of a stratus
layer) where you can see the CB or CVD cells, that's still
"sane." (Accepting,
for the purpose of argument, that you consider IFR in a single-
engine airplane
sane in the first place.)

There is the possibility that you can't get ATC to clear you to
deviate from
your routing to steer around CBs (been there, due to radio
failure). But in
theory there's nothing wrong with it.

Radio working or not, there is nothing ATC can say that would
convince me to knowingly go into a CB. I'll take my chances with
conflicting traffic by declaring an emergency and violating my
clearance, if I have to. If I can't get them on the radio, I'll
deviate and tell them about it later. They aren't flying the
airplane, I am.

Kevin Horton
RV-8 (Finishing Kit)
Ottawa, Canada
http://www.kilohotel.com/rv8


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Bruce(at)glasair.org
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PostPosted: Thu May 11, 2006 6:20 pm    Post subject: We lost Scott Crossfield today Reply with quote

It's surprising what squawking 7700 will do.

Bruce
www.glasair.org


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